Thursday, October 21, 2004

Assumption

As far as I'm concerned, we can pretty much safely assume Iran has and will develop nuclear weapons in the next year or so. What does this mean for us? An internal Civil War is still the best optio n in Iran - I doubt the mullahs would use a nuke against their own people....although they might unleash it on the West via terrorists if their is a perception we were aligning with the moderates.

In any case, this is a not a good development, and I imagine the expediency with which the Iranians are trying to make this happen has something to do with our invasion of Iraq. Iraq scared Libya into volunteering to give up a nuke program and expedited Iran's. That's basically a wash, I'd say.

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