Friday, November 16, 2012

Nate Silver, Nate Silver, Nate Silver

The nation, as we all know, is swept up in the fact Nate Silver predicted 50 of 50 states.  But isn't this achievement a bit overstated?  How many states were actually close?  In the end, only really 2 states were within 2% -- Ohio and Florida.  There are about 8 states listed as battleground states.  So really, Nave Silver was 2 for 2 or 8 for 8.  Still good, but not exactly 50 for 50.

Now I say this as a person who suspected Romney was going to win - a person who got caught up in the media coverage and who didn't pay attention to polling.

I was more impressed with Brower going 11-1 a couple Sunday's ago against the spread.  Now that's impressive.

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