The Best Perspective on China

Will probably come from the Japanese, their longtime rival. 

I suspect this analysis is largely right: the Chinese are dangerously overconfident and with power shifting towards 1 guy away from a group, the risk of miscalculation on their part is high.

A thing I didn't know: Xi knows very little about the West - even less than Kim Jong Un. That's a worrisome thing. At the highest levels, they probably analyze the West through social media -- a huge mistake.