Best Corona Take

Here is the best take on coronavirus I've read so far. Fair warning: it's long and number heavy. But in summary his take is the following:

1) It spreads way faster than WHO estimates.

2) The vast vast majority of cases are incredibly mild.

3) Much of our public policy thus far is based upon faulty data.

I think this resolves sooner rather than later, here's how:

a) Cautiously re-open businesses

b) Wear masks

c) Create excess hospital capacity. Although most cases are mild, we still know for a fact, the bad cases get very bad.

d) Keep up the hygiene

e) Get testing up, although by his take, testing seems relatively less vital (although obviously still important)

f) Reduce super spreaders (need testing, ironically)

g) Not in his article, but it seems like some of anti viral cocktails help, and if so, will help mitigate the worst cases.

And I still believe in hindsight, the total economic shutdown will be overkill. A lot of folks will get sicker than usual, so we should improve sick pay and firms should overstaff with substitute folks.