Skip Bayless Speculates Correctly

Bayless thinks Harbaugh is gone next year because Harbaugh doesn't think Colin Kaepernick is the guy.

My position on Kaepernick is incredibly well documented here at Public Musings and if I am correct, it will be one of my best calls ever, since the entire sports world disagreed with me and the sports media continues to cover for Kaepernick. I swear every article I read about the Niners meltdown involves blaming Greg Roman, the offensive line, the coaching, the front office and not a single one takes the position that Kaepernick is the problem. Kaepernick is the problem!!! There is massive cognitive dissonance happening here -- Kaepernick gets better treatment in the sports media than Obama gets from the liberal media.

I would argue Kaepernick hasn't regressed at all. He hasn't changed much as a QB. He got incredibly lucky at the beginning of his career and had few spectacular games that were widely watched. This often happens when a new QB subs in for an old QB because the teams have not game planned for the new QB. (see Nick Foles, Michael Vick, Mark Sanchez right now, Josh McCown, Matt Flynn, all these guys were the toast of the town for a few weeks) Yes, Kap has a specific skill set -- he can throw deep down the field well and he can run. When he first came into the league, defenses were not prepared for the Niners to do either of those things. Some teams didn't have the personnel (Packers), others didn't have the scheme. But this was -- and remains -- a gimmick. Kaepernick was never good at reading defenses, making decisions, running through his progressions, or throwing anything but fastballs. His throws have no touch. And he is not a leader. His incompetence is rubbing off on teammates. His erratic decision making makes it difficult for others to get in synch with him. Crabtree, Boldin, Davis, Gore are all having WORSE seasons than in previous years. The only receiver doing okay this year is Stevie Johnson -- a new receiver. That is strange. Good players develop chemistry over time. The Niners are developing the opposite of chemistry -- Kap is the cancer spreading to the rest of the team and the poor playing is exposing the problems between the front office and Harbaugh.

Meanwhile, look at what Alex Smith is doing over in Kansas City. KC shit the bed in the first game, played the most difficult schedule in the league over 8 games, and is 5-3 with a plus 62 point differential (4th best in the league). They have worse personnel at every single offensive position than the 49ers except Jamal Charles (no little thing), and yet, are playing better right now. Their run game is solid - even without Charles - and after losing 3 offensive lineman in the off-season. Why? Because Alex Smith knows how to get his offense into advantageous positions to run whereas Kaepernick does not. This is a process of outthinking the opponent. Peyton does it the best, which is why, despite being slow and uncoordinated, he never takes sacks.

Anyhow - the Niners will continue to regress with Kap at quarterback. It is a very safe bet.

UPDATE: An example of the media bias in favor of Kap -- just saw this article talking about Kap's historic season. The Niners are playing like shit and they're talking about Kap's impressive stats. Ugh.