My Super Bowl Prediction

The game will come down to game-plan and coaching.  I believe the Seahawks are a better all-around team, and would win 6-7 out of 10 games given the injury condition of Denver.  But in a single-game setting, elements of surprise and misdirection will be the deciding factor.

For instance, last year, the Ravens came in with a defensive game plan to stop the read-option by hitting Kaepernick no matter whether he kept the ball or not.  I think this won the game for them.  It helped that Joe Flacco played out of his mind and they returned a kick off for a TD, but the Ravens were an inferior team talent-wise to the Niners and came in with a better game plan.

The Saints beat the Colts the same way several years ago by limiting Peyton's drives via ball control and the aggressive onside kick play (which fit into this plan).

So the question comes down to:  Denver offense vs. Seattle defense.  Will Denver run some interesting plays to chew up yards and wear down the Seattle defense?  Or will Seattle get up on Denver receivers and make the short passing game impossible?

Pete Carroll vs. John Fox?  I'd give a SLIGHT edge to Fox.  Carroll is underrated as a tactician, but Fox has been here before.

Manning vs. Wilson.  I'd give a slight edge to Peyton.  Wilson is also underrated for his brains, but Peyton is Peyton.

So, I'm picking Denver and the points, even though this is probably just as much emotional as rational.