Wisdom

From Fooled By Randomness:

Things are always obvious after the fact. ....When you look at the past, the past will always be deterministic, since only one single observation took place. Our mind will interpret most events not with the preceding ones in mind, but the following ones. Imagine taking a test knowing the answer. While we know that history flows forward, it is difficult to realize that we envision it backward. Why? Here is a possible explanation: Our minds are not quite designed to understand how the world works, but, rather, to get out trouble rapidly and have progeny.

He goes into more details in the book...